Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 0.007644 0.008562 0.009566 0.010748 0.012105 0.013619 0.015443
2025-05-18 0.006113 0.007335 0.008784 0.010642 0.012978 0.015843 0.019661
2025-05-25 0.005349 0.006716 0.008427 0.010751 0.013864 0.017949 0.023810
2025-06-01 0.004736 0.006160 0.008019 0.010663 0.014392 0.019564 0.027461
2025-06-08 0.004168 0.005577 0.007481 0.010293 0.014432 0.020447 0.030133
2025-06-15 0.003834 0.005267 0.007264 0.010320 0.015004 0.022122 0.034197
2025-06-22 0.003658 0.005152 0.007300 0.010703 0.016128 0.024752 0.040168
2025-06-29 0.003351 0.004816 0.006973 0.010488 0.016277 0.025828 0.043673
2025-07-06 0.003083 0.004510 0.006662 0.010257 0.016359 0.026779 0.047076
2025-07-13 0.002897 0.004315 0.006498 0.010242 0.016788 0.028365 0.051897
2025-07-20 0.002793 0.004236 0.006509 0.010511 0.017731 0.030979 0.059163
2025-07-27 0.002631 0.004052 0.006334 0.010440 0.018051 0.032466 0.064378
2025-08-03 0.002498 0.003911 0.006229 0.010504 0.018668 0.034694 0.071815
2025-08-10 0.002344 0.003726 0.006036 0.010393 0.018947 0.036306 0.078271
2025-08-17 0.002241 0.003618 0.005966 0.010499 0.019660 0.038917 0.087652
2025-08-24 0.002118 0.003466 0.005804 0.010414 0.019969 0.040699 0.095386
2025-08-31 0.001966 0.003253 0.005517 0.010054 0.019662 0.041055 0.099493
2025-09-07 0.001881 0.003154 0.005428 0.010081 0.020182 0.043394 0.109543
2025-09-14 0.001849 0.003146 0.005508 0.010453 0.021508 0.047869 0.126879
2025-09-21 0.001745 0.003000 0.005317 0.010244 0.021490 0.049020 0.134581
2025-09-28 0.001648 0.002861 0.005126 0.010019 0.021408 0.049996 0.142013
2025-10-05 0.001582 0.002776 0.005036 0.010004 0.021824 0.052351 0.154635
2025-10-12 0.001551 0.002755 0.005072 0.010266 0.022948 0.056824 0.175931